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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch

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To: lurqer who wrote (35744)1/20/2004 12:01:54 AM
From: stockman_scott   of 89467
 
lurqer: You may be right...Yet, IMO the nominee will be Clark, Kerry or possibly Edwards...It all comes down to electability and momentum.

Don't rule out Clark.

I didn't expect Dean to be seriously pummeled into 3rd place in Iowa. No one expected this -- and this may now look like a serious blow for Dean, which means that Clark may have the opportunity to get Dean supporters to replace any Kerry supporters he recently got who now switch back to Kerry. And Clark has a good chance of getting some of the Dean folks: they're voters who are disenchanted with Washington, who appreciate the power of the Internet, and who strongly opposed Bush's decision to go to war.

Most importantly, entrance polls show that what many voters liked about Kerry and Edwards were (1) their ability to beat Bush (the commentators all use that dreadful "E" word; and (2) their allegedly "positive" campaigns (much truer in Edwards' case than Kerry's). And Clark's got exactly what people are buying there -- and possibly what a lot of the Dean voters Kerry and Edwards siphoned off want too.
JMHO...The next few weeks will be interesting...;-)

-s2@PoliticalHorseRace.com
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