Applied Materials No-Politics Thread (AMAT) Message Board

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Technology Stocks : Applied Materials No-Politics Thread (AMAT)

AMAT 233.73

+1.5%

10:48 AM EST

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To: Gottfried who wrote (8525)	1/21/2004 2:43:07 PM
From: Paul V.	Read Replies (1) of 25522

Gottfried, the following data I have shows the following. With IBD's RS at 63, and bookings and billings are at their highs it appears that AMAT's price is not reached. Going back to 1996 we see that AMAT has made or exceeded 200% growth in price during each cycle. I do not have the data prior to that time. Paul Hope you can make the below data out. Current cycle; May.03 723.5 805.4 0.9 13.49-15.76 11- June '03 722.3 776.5 0.93 15.15-17.69 Jly '03 706.9 785.9 0.9 15.40-18.84 Aug '03 731.8 792.3 0.92 17.69-22.34 Sept '03 778.8 811.1 0.96 18.11-22.33 Oct. '03 871 866.5 1.01 18.19-23.53 Nov. '03 923.3 876.4 1.05 22.71-25.94 Dec. '03 1100.3 917.6 1.2 20.61-24.68 63- MTH Orders, Shipment, BTB, Price, Rel. Strgth, Ind. Pr Rk JAN'96 30-41.375 (Low # best) JLY'96 992 1311 0.76 21.75-32.25 <10 AUG'96 882 1248 0.71 23.125-27.50 <10 SEPT'96 778 1119 0.7 22.75-29.375 11-15 OCT'96 833 1072 0.78 25.625-30.50 11-27 NOV'96 952 1062 0.9 25.875-39.75 15-79 DEC'96 1078 1069 1.01 33.875-40.50 60-87 JAN'97 1116 1034 1.08 34.6875-49.625 65-94 FEB'97 1101 1029 1.07 40.875-55.125 90-95 MARCH'97 1265 1102 1.15 43.25-54.125 94-95 APR'97 1386 1261 1.1 44.875-55 94-96 MAY'97 1421 1299 1.09 53.50-72 95-97 JU'97 1487 1375 1.07 57.5625-74.625 95-97 JLY'97 1659 1476 1.12 70.625-93.25 95-97 AUG'97 1400.5 1536 1.1 88.25-108.375 96-99 OCT'98 638 852.3 0.75 21.5625-36.625 NOV'98 767.2 913.6 0.84 32.1875-43 DEC'98 883.4 920.9 0.96 37.3125-47 JAN'99 996.7 890 1.12 42.875-64.0625 FEB'99 1028.8 845 1.22 55.3125-71.625 MAR'99 1256.9 943.5 1.33 54.50-67.0625 APR'99 1405.1 1099.1 1.28 48.4375-68.875 MAY'99 1514.2 1216.7 1.24 50.75-67.25 JUNE'99 1560.5 1288.3 1.21 53.50-75 JLY'99 1530.9 1375.2 1.11 68.0625-79.9375 AUG'99 1565.1 1440.7 1.09 62.25-79.25 SEP'99 1502.2 1406.5 1.07 71.25-84.9375 OCT'99 1592 1465 1.09 73.5625-90.1875 NOV'99 1694.5 1528.5 1.11 87.50-113.25 DEC'99 1907.9 1597.9 1.19 98.125-129 JAN'00 2227.3 1603.5 1.39 111-146.625 FEB'00 2301.5 1564.3 1.44 133.25-189.75 The question is where we are at during this cycle.

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