SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: Don Green who wrote (6349)1/28/2004 2:13:32 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) of 110194
 
dont regard "inflation" as a commodity without location

China will cause serious demand increases, for sure
that will translate into strong price trends for hard goods

but they are actively engaged in severe overproduction

the end result will be a continuation of the absolute financial cyclone underway

rising material costs, energy costs, food costs
falling finished goods prices
but in USA, rising import costs
here is a quote from Corrigan's recent article:
Over the last two years, unfinished import prices are up 20%. Finished import prices are up 6.7% annualized since the start of spring, nearly a 9-year high

the new patterns are becoming clear
my major themes in recent work
1. rising production costs, mean profit margin squeeze
2. rising household costs, mean shrinking consumer budget
3. corp cost increases, mean accelerated job outsourcing

the combination of rising production and living costs, against a backdrop of zero pricing power in the real economy, makes for a continued cyclone

"Inflation + Deflation = Chaos (not zero)"
gold-eagle.com

sorry if you grasp this already
I have a hot button when people speak loosely about inflation without qualification
it aint a commodity without location
you probably know that though
/ jim
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext