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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: mishedlo who wrote (6472)1/29/2004 8:45:29 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Read Replies (3) of 110194
 
AG may have no choice but ot hike 1/4 it does nothing to the economy but will send a very strong signal that "real recovery" is on it's way.

He will that do to stop inflation expectation and protect the USD - he has no choice IMHO.

From an economic point of view 1% or 1.25% is only symbolic - long rates will revert to below 4% which is more meaningful for the economy than 4.75% - so it will protect the other CB's with their US paper and keep the housing bubble alive.

Keep in mind US population grows at around 1% shelter will grow at the same pace + multiplier effect. EZ & Japan is stagnant or shrinking in this front. EZ will more likely cut
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