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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: yard_man who wrote (6619)1/31/2004 7:57:06 PM
From: russwinter  Read Replies (2) of 110194
 
<re Aluminum -- there is clearly a large excess of capacity that is not obsolete, but excess.>

It's very energy intensive, so I'd say a good portion is obsolete, not excess.

<PCs. semis and comm equipment. Do you think we are hitting supply constraints there?? >

No, it appears the lives of walking wounded (the Gateways) have been prolonged.

<industries underlying building -- I don't believe we are bumping supply constraints at all>

There are substantial supply and pricing constraints /pressures in the input goods used: lumber, copper, insulation, building materials, even skilled labor(plumbing, electricians).

Other key industries facing bottlenecks, constraints,cost squeezes : transportation, chemicals, food processing, steel, and all that feeds through to automotive.
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