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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: yard_man who wrote (6630)	1/31/2004 8:40:42 PM
From: mishedlo	Read Replies (1) of 110194

Actually it is both a ruse and not a ruse. Greenspan knows full well if he has to hike the bubble bursts. I believe foreign markets know that too. Personally I think this was "orchestrated nonsense". Unless and until Japan and China do not need our markets and our consumers the game continues. I think that is easily 2 more years, especially if China tries to quell its markets and that seem to be happening. Everyone and I mean virtually everyone now thinks "it is only a matter of time before interest rates go up". Even Heinz is on board now. Perhaos I am stubborn. Perhaps not. But...... I contend that rates MAY raise BUT not as much as expected. That has been my game plan all along. I do not think there is a snowball's chance in hell that Europe hikes. Furthermore, if the US markets sell off in "anticipation" of a hike, none will be necessary. I stick to the call. No hike before the election. IF and ONLY if jobs improve, do we see a hike at all. I still have it as 50/50 that the next move is a CUT. Mish

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