WHO IS RUNNING FOR PRESIDENT IN 2004 Message Board

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Politics : WHO IS RUNNING FOR PRESIDENT IN 2004

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To: John Carragher who wrote (10106)	2/8/2004 1:37:04 PM
From: Lizzie Tudor	of 10965

everything i read says the opposite.. what do you see the others do not. About the house and senate? Nothing really, I am just extrapolating that a wide Bush defeat will carryover to the house and/or senate. As to why Bush will lose to a wider margin than "predicted": - record voter turnouts including moderates at essentially ALL democratic primaries thus far - dem primary turnout essentially DOUBLE vs. 2000 in at least 3 primaries thus far (and way over average elsewhere) - Polls in South Carolina and other southern states show economy/jobs #1 concern for voters - Bush poll numbers slipping badly - No jobs recovery is possible without legislation to restrict "offshoring" and even then it will be tricky to manage due to companies like GE using outsourcers - Large Bush donors like Welch denying the issue that they are causing- therefore no Bush economic solutions are possible really - Bush already losing his magic touch with congress, they are letting the tax cuts lapse due to lack of votes, even though Bush asked for those cuts in the SotU. - the Tim Russert interview seems desperate on Bush's part to stem his slide and it was unimpressive (again), just like the SotU. Basically, my feeling is that Bush needs a jobs recovery to turn his bad poll numbers around and I know that no jobs recovery is possible in the US under the current circumstances.

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