SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: glenn_a who wrote (7525)2/10/2004 10:18:12 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (2) of 110194
 
excellent summary, the is missing piece in MishMan's thesis

Mish expects unlimited liquidity, as far as eye can see
with currency stress, it wont be there from Asian supply side
they simply will NOT be able to keep pace as their reserves decline in value

a US Econ recovery implies three things:
1. rising USDollar
2. closing trade gap
3. reduced federal budget deficits

we are missing all three
we have no recovery whatsoever

we have a speculative economy illusion, which is fooling most of the financial world, whose seers are blind Keynesian Economist hacks

so fully expect the federal deficit to widen further
esp with a continued war and security spending spree

Asians will attempt to keep pace, but will not be able to
our debt requirements are the greatest in the history of the world

isnt it great, I mediate between two geniuses, Russ and MishMan ???
I think I have my finger on the bridge between the two
Russ misses the absent link between real econ and spec econ
Mish misses the illiquid bond market upcoming

/ jim
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext