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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis
SOXX 344.71-1.1%Jan 23 4:00 PM EST

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To: Donald Wennerstrom who wrote (13348)2/15/2004 10:30:13 AM
From: Kirk ©  Read Replies (1) of 95761
 
Thanks Don.

what is the best company or companies in the table, if any, that are most similar to Agilent? Also, why are they leading the table in terms of the 8 percent gain during the past 4 weeks while they have the highest PEG in the table?

You show a 10% growth rate yet Agilent makes the same sort of testers that TER (15), KLIC (18%) and VECO (18%) make. Give A a 15% growth rate and its PEG would show as 1.67, still high but much better. 18% growth gives it a PEG of 1.56.

IF you look at the semiconductor side, it is much like LLTC (22%) and MXIM (25%). At 22% growth, A would have a PEG of 1.14, lower than both MXIM and LLTC.

IF you compare it to a finished product seller that ALSO makes semiconductors like MOT, then you see A's PEG of 2.46 is lower than MOT's of 2.78 with the same LT growth rate.

Look at Price/Sales and Price/Book


P/S P/B PEG LT Growth


A 2.90 6.22 2.46 10%
A@22% 2.90 6.22 1.14 22%
MOT 1.51 3.22 2.78 10
TER 1.79 3.78 1.20 15
LLTC 19.47 7.02 1.61 22
MXIM 14.25 7.74 1.36 25
INTC 6.66 5.29 1.37 15
FNSR 4.37 2.93 N/A (still projected to lose money)

I added FNSR which is one of their competitors in Fiber Optics.

I'd think Agilent should grow faster than Intel and MOT but perhaps not as fast as MXIM or LLTC.
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