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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Spekulatius who wrote (18642)2/18/2004 10:19:30 PM
From: Spekulatius  Read Replies (2) of 78516
 
Portfolio update - TSU
Brazilian Wireless company under the TIM umbrella covering the region is the prosperous south.
Strong balance sheet - 340M Real in net cash (1 Real-.34US$)
FCF- 208M$ Real in 2003
P/E 11.4 for 2003 (Earnings/ADR 3.4 Real)
Revenue growth 32% YoY
Earnings growth 78% YoY

The free cash flow numbers are very impressive given the fact that TSU invests quite heavily in GSM upgrades - they reached about 50% population coverage for GSM so far:

Negatives:
-shrinking market share (new market entrants)
-volatile Brazilian market
-potantial currency issues (Real devaluation)
- increased churn

See links below for info about Q4 2003:
sec.gov

businesstoinvestor.com

I found the yahoo numbers to be somewhat off. TSU seems to me very profitable wireless company with a very strong balance sheet. Their FCF is very strong despite the outlays for the GSM upgrade and should be even stronger once the major investments are done. I believe that TIM sooner or later will take over the company, they control the majority of voting shares but only 23% of the overall equity. Another Brazilian wireless company I like valuation wise is TND but so far i only have a position in TSU.
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