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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Valuation

CRSP 55.08

-2.9%

Dec 26 9:30 AM EST

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To: bio_kruncher who wrote (10448)	2/20/2004 6:11:56 AM
From: bio_kruncher	Read Replies (2) of 52153

SEPR Summary Sorry to be a day late but had a busy day yesterday. I will start with an overall summary. I will submit additional stuff later when i have more time. I will also post a compilation of all messages so if you don;t want yours posted with name please let me know. There were 10 responses. Not everyone broke down the approvable item so I will first present the results with approvable pooled. overall Average weighted price n=10 mean=28.92 min= 15.45 max= 35.70 sd= 5.60 --------------------% probability----------$ price----- -------------------------n=10--------------n=varies----- ---------------------AVG MIN MAX AVG MIN MAX 1. Approval short 17.0 0 85 34.86 25.00 47.00 2. Approval Long 2.2 0 15 47.00 45.00 50.00 3. Approvable 66.3 0 95 29.52 20.88 35.00 4. Not Approvable 12.0 0 50 14.94 10.00 18.00 5. No action 2.5 0 10 20.50 20.00 21.00 note avgs for price are for those with nonzero probability. Well, I guess it is a sign that I am too optimistic when 3 of the max $ numbers are mine! bk

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