Booms, Busts, and Recoveries Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: Maurice Winn who wrote (46522)	2/21/2004 5:53:13 PM
From: Mark Adams	Read Replies (1) of 74559

M, I don't have my calcs handy, but I seem to remember working the numbers as if the entire sugar crop were converted and came up with something like 12% of today's demand. A wee bit shy of full replacement. This excludes conversion of Palm oil (and peers) of which there was surplus recently, and more of which can be generated with the right incentives. I've come to a similar conclusion: we will create the fuel needed, as you note, when the price is right. Which means structuring lifestyles in a way that offsets the burden of higher fuel/energy costs. I found that I could be quite effective in structuring my personal life to eliminate direct costs, but indirect costs (shipping produce to my local grocer out of season?) form the bulk of the burden. Bioconversion of solar energy ignores the near zero incremental cost of thermal cogen of hydrogen (via nuke) then transformed into additional downstream products like methanol, plastics, fertilizer. This is the most logical destination, IMO. Message 19680598 Message 19534086 Message 19568874 Message 19531367

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