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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: Mary Cluney who wrote (46552)2/22/2004 12:44:54 PM
From: Maurice Winn  Read Replies (1) of 74559
 
<I have never met a kid (child) aspire to be an evil doer or bad guy. All the popular kids in school, kids who have friends, want to be the good guy/person.>

Mary, I've seen lots of them. In fact, about half of people get away with what they can get away with. All children do until they learn. They just don't see it as being bad. They just want something, ergo it's a good thing. They don't think about good or bad, just want and their ego does the rest. They want, therefore it's good. Hence bias is such a problem in judges and others because it's so hard to avoid. People all have a bit of child in them still, to a greater or lesser extent.

Being good is actually a learned, unnatural way of behaving. It's more natural to just go the Lord of the Flies way and develop into the Stalinist/Mao/Saddam style. Civilization and good guys is a modern and struggling along concept. We are basically chimps with a veneer of civilization - a fine layer of brain to keep the menagerie domesticated.

George Bush thinks he's being a good guy, but doesn't even think about his own bias, ego and wanting of things. He prays to be good, but doesn't understand that anything coming back is just an echo in his own head, reflecting his own ego, and desires, back at himself after comparing ideas with possible outcomes which past experience tells him is likely.

<There will always be some Big Brother type playing the populist card and try to rally the hens. The hens will eventually lose. They just don't have the intellectual bandwidth. Isn't that what the theory of evolution is all about?>

I envisage a softly, softly catchee monkey type evolution. No lunge for power. Just a gradual separation and transition, just as we've seen on a national basis so far. The gap between 'rich' and poor continues to open up. The gap is actually between smart and stupid. It can only open up because 0 is always the lowest rung and people are stretched out from there to no upper limit. Most people bunch around IQ100, so there's a huge lump in the distribution curve around there [higher or lower depending on the group or country]. But the top 1% can just go on stretching out to the horizon - there's no bound. So the gap between the top lot and the peak of the distribution curve increases.

We had a professor who called it the dead dinosaur curve [he was talking about results from examinations which have a big cluster around the mean then a narrow 'neck' which leads to a bump where there's a group of hard-working and smart people who have separated off from the mob.

That's the process whereby it'll happen in the big world.

That's my theory anyway,

Mqurice
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