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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory
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To: mishedlo who wrote (8526)2/23/2004 10:51:31 PM
From: ItsAllCyclical  Read Replies (1) of 110194
 
It's hard to say if the Dollar is reacting ST to a potential Fed hike later this year or intervention. I tend to say the later, but they timed it to bring in other players.

I do think LT that the FED will cut as well, but they may try to hike a bit first (50 to max 100 basis pts). Some would say that they will be forced to hike quite a bit, but pressed between two evils I think Greenspan is more likely to favor lower rates to try to save the housing market/stocks vs killing the former with aggressive hikes. I don't think the housing market could withstand more than 100 to 150 basis pt rise at this stage in the game.
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