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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

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To: mishedlo who wrote (525)2/24/2004 11:41:37 AM
From: Wyätt Gwyön  Read Replies (4) of 116555
 
the consensus was off by so much, it is comical. barfing.com was predicting 102 vs 87 actual, LOL.

I don't recall a period where we had this kind of a surge in energy prices and didn't have some kind of negative fall-out

just goes to show, commodity inflation in a weak income/zero-pricing-power environment is DEFLATIONARY. discretionary income is being diverted to pay for energy. this is a direct tax on discretionary expenditures.

Higher energy prices, along with other rising commodity prices, also are raising production costs for businesses, and they haven't been able to pass those higher prices on to consumers. As a result, corporate profit margins are being squeezed, making businesses reluctant to hire more

ha ha ha--rock and a hard place! deflationary debt depression, here we come!

the overcrowded anti-USD plays are so screwed on this triple top--when the bottom falls out of US economy and we have a full-blown recession, worldwide commodity demand will plummet and all currencies will plunge vs USD. $300 gold here we come. Prechter may even be right about $200 bullion. all imo, ha ha ha
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