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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

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To: mishedlo who wrote (1526)3/8/2004 6:52:54 PM
From: Mike McFarland  Read Replies (5) of 116555
 
I see this on Thestreet.com site:
James J. Cramer
Market Trusts Bonds More Than Tech
Investors deemed the economy too weak to sustain a Nazz rally.
But their negativity is misdirected.

I am tempted to sign up, they do a good job with
the headlines to suck you in.

.....................................
Say, what is the risk exactly with my RYJUX?
I admit getting in too early, who knew the jobs
would utterly suck, but I should think that
rates are not likely to drop too much more--I
can imagine less than 10%.

But suppose I ignore the thing for a year, came
back and found we had rates like back in the
1930's--then I would have lost more than half
my money. And on the upside, say long rates go
back up to around 7%, then I make something on
the order of 50%.

I am inclined to pay my 1% fee for holding less
than the three months, and walk away from this
bet--that costs a few hundred bucks, and I'm down
a few percent. Just another shitty trade.

Now the real question--is it worth $25 to see what
Cramer has to say about the bond market? <g>
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