Semi Equipment Analysis Message Board

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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis

SOXX 288.52

-0.3%

Nov 14 4:00 PM EST

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To: robert b furman who wrote (13821)	3/8/2004 11:23:04 PM
From: Gottfried	Read Replies (2) of 95420

Bob, thanks for exposing your reasons for optimism once more. I would like it if it happens that way. The last time I was wrong was when I thought the cycle had started in 2002. Mercifully my memory is not what it used to be - sparing me from remembering ALL the times I've been wrong. Your comment on distribution tops >Never have I seen a top not go sideways...< made me look at the 2000 AMAT top again stockcharts.com[w,a]daclyyay[d20000108,20000808][pc50!c200!d20,2!c13!f][vc60][iUb5!Uj[$ndx]!Uf!Lah12,26,9!Ll14!Lc20]&pref=G there were at least 5 months to sell above $45. here's the last few months stockcharts.com[w,a]daclyyay[d20030708,20040308][pc50!c200!d20,2!c13!f][vc60][iUb5!Uj[$ndx]!Uf!Lah12,26,9!Ll14!Lc20]&pref=G plenty of time to sell above $20 - almost half a year. But $20 is less than double the bottom price and seems too low for the cycle peak. Gottfried

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