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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

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To: Wyätt Gwyön who wrote (1783)3/11/2004 10:42:45 AM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (1) of 116555
 
thanks darffot that is a quick answer and one I agree with.
Another version is this:
The US consumer is the consumer of last resort. Driving much of the world economy. Currency wars are even being fought over this. Everyone wants the US$ higher (to keep exporting to us), we want it lower (so that we can keep exporting). In the meantime debt is stacking up unabated and can not go on forever. When the US consumer gives up, and he will if jobs are not there or confidence falls low enough, the whole world economy goes into the toilet.

Right now jobs suck, and confidence is falling off the table. Finally, China is acting to curb its demand as well. We do not need rate hikes to push this over the edge, we are falling off the edge as I type.

Mish
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