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Strategies & Market Trends : Technology Stocks & Market Talk With Don Wolanchuk

SOXL 47.31

-4.2%

4:00 PM EDT

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To: robert b furman who wrote (14136)	3/21/2004 2:22:56 PM
From: Runomo™	Read Replies (1) of 206680

Tanks bro, and those divergences remain intact despite the severity of Friday's decline... In retrospect, the VXN flashed a red flag for the Naz especially by the end of January when it reversed from a 52 week low to close positive for that month with a long tailed monthly hammer candlestick(the strongest type)... stockcharts.com[h,a]macannay[dd][p]&pref=G What's more interesting is that should the month of March end today, the VXN is in a classic three month buy wiggle...fortunately, we have eight trading days left in the month of March and I suspect the VXN monthly candle will morph by the end of the month to a long tailed hammer upside down or a shooting star candle... My best read for next week is that it's going to be a reversal week for the markets, but not before a follow thru to the selling from last week in the first half of next week and then hopefully a reversal later in the second half after a final good scare...Note that the sox is at it's 200 day sma already and slightly below the 200 day ema! .... while the Naz still has some catching up to do...I am thinking the Sox should begin to outperform the market soon after a quick dip here....the Naz although looking very weak at the moment,has some solid support right below...here is the 200 week ema at 1912 and the 50 month ema at 1913...and the 200 day is at 1883...In addition there are some important internal trendlines from 2001 and 2002 that intersect at around these levels....moreover, all those moving averages, the daily and the weekly and the monthly will be tested as they are rising for the first time since the start of the bear market suggesting sufficient technical repair has already taken place...while the VXN and VIX are fighting a strong downtrend augmented by falling 200 day moving averages with a typical bear market spike rallies....cheers, stockcharts.com[w,a]weclyiay[dd][pc200][vc60]&pref=G stockcharts.com[w,a]meclyiay[df][pc50][vc60]&pref=G Mo

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