Pezz, Today's Report: Dawn. Computer on. I initiate the financial-scape monitoring subroutine.
We have a problem.
There is a vivid field of crimson on my screen, whereas the patiently waiting fundamental crowd is expecting a considerably long period of green.
<<Your gold re-purchase appears wise so far>>
So far, fortunate, and that only, but I fear.
My "sell everything except energy, for USD, retain a godly portion of AUD, make an apparent mistake and sell gold, only to buy it back at higher cost, and buy some LEAP puts, bracket in NEM, straddle PAAS, and start screaming 'fire' in the theatre" is playing out, even to the detail that "Taiwan hiccup may drive some money into USD-space".
Now let's see if we get horrible days of heart-stopping declines after terrible nights of stomach-churning drubbings that is integral to the 2004 planning scenario.
Should Taiwan wobble, Saudi Arabia shake, Venezuela seize-up, then ... well, let's not think about that, except all will tend to drive money into USD-space, even as all will tend to weaken RMB.
In such a case, the leveraged community may start to have an impetus to move the same way and relinquish their USD-short positions, even as the global manufacturers will tend to leave the expensive US shores, and chaotic Taiwan mob-space, all at the same terrible time, whereas the Japanese will continue to buy USD as they move factories to China, and then ...
Messy, very messy, in an investment-unfriendly kind of way and speculation-dangerous type of fashion.
I must now get back to my work in 3D space.
Chugs, Jay |
