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Biotech / Medical : AMLN (DIABETES DRUGS)

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To: Andrew H who wrote (480)8/18/1997 4:27:00 PM
From: David Bogdanoff   of 2173
 
IMO the stock is oversold at 8. Even if approved for only type 1 diabetes we would see good returns. I believe that better clinical studies will ultimately find appropriate subgroups and dosing patterns
to result in substantial sales to type 2 diabetes patients also. Undoubtedly expectations got built into the price of the stock based on J&Js support and probably a naive belief that it would be a block-buster drug. It doesn't have to be a block-buster to be approved and profitable. Indeed, if it were a block-buster for a market the size of diabetes, it was underpriced at 16. The market seems to have trouble evaluating biotechs.

David
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