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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

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To: NOW who wrote (2875)3/26/2004 10:49:57 AM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (2) of 116555
 
Plunger on currencies and gold

I keep meeting people who say it's time to re-short the USD.
Maybe it's early, but when it's time ... against WHAT?
Every currency except one has its problems

US$ - too much debt
EUR - no growth
GBP - housing bubble
AUD - housing ex-bubble
CAD - too close to a declining USD
NZD - to strong already
SWF - too small an economy
JPY - offical debasement in progress
RMB - non deliverable, USD-linked

etc

Which is the one without problems?

"POG"

Y'all better believe it, remember we said way back that when Europe and Oz cut, gold will decouple.

30 bp of cut is now completely priced into Euros ... market clearly looking for 50.

Oz curve is flat as a plank only a few weeks after the RBA almost promised more hikes.

Plunger.
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