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Technology Stocks : Advanced Micro Devices - Moderated (AMD)
AMD 214.88-0.1%3:59 PM EST

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To: Elmer Phud who wrote (118312)4/4/2004 7:42:51 PM
From: TomcatRead Replies (1) of 275872
 
Their debt is larger than ever and they have only 1 logic fab.

Yes they have debt and only 1 fab. They may only need one fab for awhile. There is always the IBM rumor.

Their die size is huge and it runs on a very tempramental process.

I don't know the die sizes off hand, but I didn't think there was much difference between Prescott and the 90 nm Athlon 64s. I think Intel is currently experiencing more process problems than AMD.

... there is now competition for x86-64 from a much lower cost supplier...

Where can I buy one?

... and you think they (AMD) are in the best position in their history?

In the past I don't think AMD had any presence in the server space. Today HP, SUN and IBM are shipping Opteron servers. AMD's presence in the notebook space has never been better with HP and emachines as OEMs not to mention Acer, Fujitsu, Voodoo and others. AMD has also kept competitive in the desktop space. They still need to work on commercial wins though.

Intel has a much smaller die...

You already said that, but I don't think that is true.

... and 2 300mm fabs going to 5 over the next year or so.

That is a lot of capacity. It will be interesting to see if Intel can keep those 60% gross margins.

If you want to think of Intel now as the second source then I guess that's ok..

I never said this.

As far as processor performance goes I don't think Intel has much if any advantage over AMD. They are as close as they have ever been. And don't bet that AMD is resting on its laurels just as I am sure that Intel isn't either. I believe that AMD is just getting started and will continue to take market share and increase profitability. At least I am betting on it with my AMD shares.

Good luck!
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