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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Hawkmoon who wrote (128526)4/6/2004 12:25:58 PM
From: Jacob Snyder  Read Replies (3) of 281500
 
Things are becoming so crystal-clear, I feel confidant, in making specific predictions. So, here's another, in my series:

I predict that, in Iraq, until the last American soldier is off their soil, no Shiite cleric will help us kill or capture any other Shiite cleric.

Sistani and Sadr are playing a "good cop, bad cop" routine with us. Sistani pretends to be our friend (at least, he seems friendly, in comparison to Sadr). Then he extracts concessions from us, while Sadr keeps up the pressure. These guys aren't dumb.

Our best chance, for working the classic colonialist tactic of DivideAndConquer, was to pit Sunni against Shiite. Or seculars against the clerics. But, instead, we are pissing everybody off, and they are all concentrating their efforts against us.
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