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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Hawkmoon who wrote (128572)	4/7/2004 7:47:27 AM
From: jttmab	Read Replies (1) of 281500

Maybe just rose-colored glasses. Maybe it was a rose-colored speakerphone. It is if we want moderates like Sistani to be the voice of the Shiites in Iraq. But, of course, he can't be seen as publicly siding with the CPA/IGC since that would leave him being seen as taking sides. "The neighborhood, though Shiite, is not normally regarded as Sadr turf. Most Kadhimiya residents, like most of Iraq's majority Shiite population, look to Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani for instruction. But Abu Ali Hashem, a Sistani follower and an official of a hallowed Shiite shrine, estimated that half of the neighborhood's Sistani followers were joining in Sadr's protest in the absence of any instruction otherwise from their own leader. That drift toward the young cleric appeared to challenge another critical calculation of U.S. commanders and officials. Occupation overseers have counted on the well-known tension between the revered Sistani and the upstart Sadr as a check on Sadr's influence. But the rivalry apparently is being overtaken by a more immediate conflict -- the scores of clashes since Sunday pitting occupation forces in Baghdad and several southern cities against militiamen who claim to be fighting in the name of a common faith." washingtonpost.com 23 confessions attesting that Sadr directed the killing would be pretty damning evidence that might assist in turning the tide against Sadr and removing him as an issue. I would doubt that the Iraqis think a lot of "confessions". They just came through a period [20+ years] where confessions were a dime a dozen. Skepticism of confessions is ingrained. It's going to likely be a tough couple of months until the IGC take official control.. But more importantly we need to ramp up the creation of an Iraqi army and security force. June 30 is but a ceremony. Nothing substantively changes. Some transitions are occuring now and others won't be completed until months after 30 Jun. But the US Forces will still be there. Chalabi will still be there. To the Iraqis it won't look any different. jttmab

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