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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated
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To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (38542)4/8/2004 11:05:14 PM
From: frankw1900  Read Replies (1) of 793877
 
Don't want to sound like a broken record but: Itoldjaso. Sadr made the move because he's losing:

I visited Sadr City often between July 2003 and March 2004, walking through markets and along apartment blocks. Posters of Muqtada al-Sadr, once omnipresent, faded or disappeared, replaced by posters of late ayatollahs like Muhammad Baqir al-Hakim, killed in an August 29, 2003, car bomb.

He's spent the money from Iran, he's murdered some rivals, his thugs intimidate ordinary citizens and behave like Hussein's men, but he has no real support, even in "Sadr city". About a million people live there and the US rolled in a small force with very little trouble. Had Sadr had any real support there would have been a blood bath.

So far I haven't seen any real reporting which even tenuously supports the idea that there is a Shiite uprising. This isn't surprising. All surveys of Iraq done since the invasion suggest that while many Iraqis aren't happy with Coaltion presence they are even less happy with the prospect of a return to the old ways. And Sadr is very representative of the old ways of institutionalized murder and robbery.

I can't say exactly how things will shake out in Iraq but I'm pretty sure Sadr won't be a major player.
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