I'm trying to be very objective. You may be right, but all the negative stuff kind of cancels each other out.
I don't think there will be any self-destruction. Bush has enough very competent people like Condi Rice, who handled herself well.
Again - I'm not arguing politics, or slime or scum, or what is typically posted here. I'm merely trying to analyze how the typical voter, relatively uninformed, without the time to look at fine print pronouncements, is going to vote.
So far - it's a tossup. and 1/3 at least of the possible universe of ELIGIBLE voters is undecided or on the fence one way or another. That will not change.
Most look at the 9/11 commission as showing exactly what I thought it would show. That is, there is incompetence, irrespective of adminstration. They all screwed up. There was no advance knowledge by Clinton or by Bush team.
Every day, they get thousands of hits. There is probably a warning on a desk about a nuclear bomb somewhere. That is not the same thing as saying WTC happens tomorrow and the common sense voter realizes that.
The memo to be de-classified says "OBL wants to bomb US." Well "DUH!!!!" He did in 1993 and later with the embassies and the Cole, etc. The memo didn't say "WTC 9/11." How would you react if you had 10,000 possible hits? Put 100 agents on each one? That's 1 million agents, just for starters.
As far as I'm concerned Condi Rice "won" in terms of how the average voter would judge.
Again - I'm looking for and hoping for some real dynamism and innovation from the Kerry camp. But, so far, very little of that. |