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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch

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To: lurqer who wrote (42420)4/12/2004 7:11:52 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (3) of 89467
 
coolness: JW does Puplava's Financial Sense wrapup

financialsense.com

"Failure of the Fed Reflation Initiative"
by Jim Willie CB

Since January of 2001, when the Federal Reserve embarked on a path extending over 20 months to reduce Fed Funds targeted interest rates down to 1.0%, the resolution is incomplete, uncertain, and hardly successful. By many measures, the outcome is arguably a failure. Aggressive monetary stimulus has jolted the economy and financial markets, to be sure. Clearly absent has been a foundation upon which to build an economic recovery. Twenty years of a rising USDollar, energy reserve depletion, and offshore manufacturing has led to an “evolution of dependence” which leaves our nation highly vulnerable in its supply of energy, raw materials, and capital. Also absent have been the internal dynamics to force traction of monetary policy into actual commercial performance. The foundation lacks the pent-up demand, principally in the car and housing sectors. More critically, it lacks domestic savings from which to recapitalize. The internal dynamics have been indeed radically altered by the rapid evolution of globalization itself. The business cycle has changed to the extent that cyclical behavior is challenged and debated. The cycle may be broken.

/ jim
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