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Non-Tech : The Woodshed

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To: nspolar who wrote (3890)4/13/2004 9:21:20 PM
From: Little Joe  Read Replies (1) of 60926
 
Received a blurb in my email today and since it is very interesting I thought I would share it.

<The "Income Tax Bounce" is when the market drastically reacts to massive selling then repurchasing of stocks along with new retirement money being put to work. It's a bounce... Like a rubber ball, first the markets head down then they bounce back up. How high up is anybody's guess.

What causes this?

How about tens of millions of investors who need to raise the cash to make a tax payment on April 15th... That money is pulled out of their investment accounts. That means the stock market and other wealth repositories will be drained of a significant percent of cash.

Also the indecision and general mental strife that goes along with writing that big check tends to keep people away from the markets. Volume goes down and what volume there is tends to be selling, so, in general, stocks go down right through the April 15th deadline.

Then... As investors recover from the tax payment cash drain and even some find they pulled out more money than they needed, investors wade back into the market and stocks start to recover.

"Smart investors who understand the "Income Tax Bounce" can jump in at the right time and pick up stocks a near bargain prices,use options to hedge the investment, and possibly make a profit.>

Little joe
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