Don't Blame Me, I Voted For Kerry Message Board

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Politics : Don't Blame Me, I Voted For Kerry

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To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (14809)	4/14/2004 8:26:39 PM
From: CalculatedRisk	Read Replies (1) of 81568

Liz, because of the 2000 census, there has been a shift in some of the electoral votes. Bush does not need to hold all the red states. If the States splits exactly like in 2000, Bush will have 278 votes instead of the 271 he received in 2000. Kerry would receive 260 votes instead of Gore's 267. (officially Gore received 266 because 1 of DC's votes was withheld in protest). So Bush could lose up to 9 votes (Bush wins a 269 - 269 tie). Bush could lose New Hampshire (4) and West Virginia(5) and still win the election. That is why Ohio and Florida are so important. If Kerry wins either state, he should win the election.

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