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Technology Stocks : Ring the Bell - When to sell semiconductors?

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To: Proud_Infidel who wrote (15)4/26/2004 8:50:57 AM
From: Alastair McIntosh  Read Replies (1) of 34
 
Re: Uh oh, time to Sell?
Boom-to-bust IC capital spending cycles to end


Well, in hindsight it sure looked like a sell signal in Feb 2000.

Message 12805595

An excerpt from the iWSJ:

Semiconductor Industry Group
Sees End to Boom-and-Bust Cycle

By SCOTT EDEN
Dow Jones Newswires

NEW YORK -- Exploding demand for communications devices and a more disciplined approach to adding manufacturing capacity should help semiconductor companies avoid the boom-and-bust cycle that has plagued the business throughout its history, an industry trade group said Monday ...

...But mitigating any future cyclical slowdown in the semiconductor industry, said SIA president George M. Scalise, will be chip companies' increasingly efficient supply practices. Helped by rising dependence on outsourced manufacturing, better manufacturing methods and increased use of e-commerce, the average period it takes for a chip order to be filled is two weeks, down from an historical average of 14 weeks. That means potential shifts in demand won't result in swollen inventories, Mr. Scalise said ...
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