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Non-Tech : The Woodshed

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To: crustyoldprospector who wrote (5680)5/1/2004 5:30:10 PM
From: jimsioi  Read Replies (3) of 60912
 
Crusty, on McHugh, SafeHaven

Good read and I'm concerned he's got the picture going forward. Initially Gold and mining shares won't be spared.

"My read on this is that if the general equity markets crash, Gold could initially (perhaps for several months) get caught in the downdraft, as the deflationary impact of such an event would push commodities lower. However, Gold has intrinsic monetary value, and should currencies collapse during the Central Banks' attempt to save markets with monstrous infusions of fiat money, Gold should quickly reverse course to the upside."

Steven Rouch has a warnings from Asia that suggest economic slow down.

" Two factors are likely to prove especially vexing for Asia over the near term
— China and the Fed. The coming slowdown in China will undermine the
region’s newest source of external demand, whereas a likely normalization
of US interest rates could put downward pressure on the region’s oldest
source of external demand — the American consumer. Lacking in
self-sustaining domestic demand, an externally dependent Asian economy
could be facing a very difficult macro outlook over the 2004-05 period."
morganstanley.com
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