Booms, Busts, and Recoveries Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: BubbaFred who wrote (49634)	5/7/2004 1:11:03 AM
From: Taikun	Read Replies (2) of 74559

You missed my point completely. I've nearly given up. Here's the Fool.com on Mauldin "In 2001, he further warned readers that U.S. stocks were likely entering a decade-long secular bear market"-Mauldin OK, lets take his allegedly Godly advice: A non-stock investor from 2001 to 2012 would have missed the 50% increase in the Dow from Q1 2003 to Q1 2004. Great. Nobody, I repeat nobody, is invincible. In late 2000, Mauldin correctly discerned that the inverted yield curve was signaling a coming recession and that investors should clear out of the stock market. In 2001, he further warned readers that U.S. stocks were likely entering a decade-long secular bear market fool.com One more thing, I would never work with a financial advisor, such as Mauldin is, who gives these black and white forecasts. That is the problem with most investors and advisors, they don't assign probabilities. This is a casino, and in Vegas winning is about odds. Mauldin would be far better assigning probabilities (ie a decade long stock decline at 85% with the chance of a 1-3 year 30-75% corrective rally at 15%) Make sure you put that in the email too, and cc me. LOL

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