Oil Prices on Brink of $40 a Barrel
Fri May 7, 2004 09:33 AM ET
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By Barbara Lewis
LONDON (Reuters) - World oil prices simmered close to 13-year highs on Friday, on the brink of $40 a barrel for U.S. crude and prompting warnings from the United States that higher fuel costs could stunt economic growth.
U.S. light crude (CLc1: Quote, Profile, Research) was 55 cents higher at $39.92, just off a peak of $39.97 hit on Thursday. London Brent (LCLc1: Quote, Profile, Research) gained 55 cents to $37.08.
Some analysts and traders said a move above $40 looked inevitable. It would be the highest level since the record of $41.15 hit in October 1990 after Iraq invaded Kuwait in the crisis that led to the Gulf War.
Last weekend's shootings at a Saudi Arabian chemicals plant and attempts a week earlier to bomb Iraq's Basra oil export terminal have fostered fears of a bigger attack on oil facilities in the Middle East, which pumps about a third of the world's oil.
"People are watching events in the Middle East very closely. We could be getting toward the point when supplies will be disrupted and that's very worrying," said Tony Machacek of Prudential Bache brokerage.
The United States is calling on the OPEC cartel to calm prices by increasing output. The Bush administration fears the fallout of higher energy costs in an election year.
U.S. Treasury Secretary John Snow said on Thursday that high oil prices were "not helpful" for U.S. and global economic growth.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, which controls around half world crude exports, will hold its next scheduled meeting on June 3 in Beirut. OPEC ministers will get the chance to discuss policy options at a forum that gathers producer and consumer nations in Amsterdam on May 22-24.
Several cartel ministers have said they think there is enough crude oil in the market. Algeria's Oil Minister Chakib Khelil said high prices are instead a result of China's red-hot oil demand and political instability in the Middle East.
U.S. refineries are struggling to meet demand for new environmental grades of gasoline ahead of peak summer holiday driving demand.
U.S. gasoline consumption in the past four weeks rose by 3.4 percent against the same period last year to 9.1 million barrels a day, leaving stocks of the motor fuel to well below the five-year seasonal average.
"The explosive cocktail created by OPEC actions, Saudi oil policy, U.S. managing logistical bottlenecks and U.S. foreign policy are set to keep oil prices on fire this summer," Washington-based PFC Energy said in a research note.
reuters.com |
