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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis
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To: NOW who wrote (6011)5/10/2004 4:29:32 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Read Replies (1) of 116555
 
my focus is on the wages as in a highly leverage economy that what matters IMHO - how you pay down debt.

Unfortunate the personal debt burden rose in March even with the rosy employment report that is why I question the employment statistics accuracy.

IMHO to declare a recovery v. stabilization in the US you need around 200,000 new jobs each month and a rise of total wages about 1% above inflation due to population growth.

In Europe for example there is no need for substantial job growth as the population there is stable to shrinking to declare recovery, nor are the consumers as leveraged as they are in the US
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