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Politics : Don't Blame Me, I Voted For Kerry

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To: JakeStraw who wrote (22050)5/12/2004 2:25:48 PM
From: Kenneth E. PhillippsRead Replies (2) of 81568
 
US record deficits

The OECD pointed out that both the US trade deficit and the US budget deficit are the largest on record, pointing up the unbalanced nature of world economic growth so far.

It devoted an entire chapter of its World Economic Outlook to the problem of the $500bn US trade deficit, and warned that reversing that deficit could cause serious problems for the rest of the world.

One way to cut the deficit would be for the US dollar to fall another 25%, but that would hurt non-US exporters severely, especially in the eurozone, prolonging the recession.

Other major exporters, like China and Japan, would also be affected.

Conversely, the US could reduce the deficit by dramatically slowing its own rate of growth.

But the OECD suggested that the US growth rate would have to be cut in half (from 4% to 2%) to reduce demand for imported goods enough for this to work.

Alternatively, taxes would have to be raised by 6% of GDP, or $600bn.

Both of these actions could have a severe effect on the US economic boom, ensuring a jobless recovery.

news.bbc.co.uk
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