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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group
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To: Win Smith who wrote (132779)5/12/2004 10:48:00 PM
From: Hawkmoon  Read Replies (2) of 281500
 
That "drain the swamp" phrase has been a constant litany here for as long as I can remember, though it mostly left with LindyBill.

Win.. if we don't change the course of economic stagnation in the middle east, the demographic baby-boom will fill that swamp to over-filling with disenfranchised young Arab adults.

They will either seek to flee the region for the West (as we've seen in Europe), or they will find themselves becoming more and more militant because the existing regimes will prove unable/unwilling to make the necessary changes to give them a viable economic future.. They just can't release their grip on power out of fear that they will lose control.. Even though they are destined to lose control eventually... (but then those leaders will flee to the west and live in some wealthy exile, so why should they care?)..

Now I know all of the reasons people find for why we should "rock the boat" in the mid-east, but I would challenge them to dispute the impacts of a baby-boom on an economically stagnant society..

There is nothing good that come from such a scenario..

And we can't effect a proper change without either directly overthrowing some of the more intransigent regimes in the regions and promoting democratic reform, or putting excessive military and political pressure on the existing regimes so that they feel confident that they can implement those changes themselves without being thrown completely out of power in a violent revolution.

And I think the overthrow of Saddam is the first step towards fulfilling such a strategy.

Believe me... if we don't do it now, the militants will do it later and we'll have even more of a bloodbath then..

Is that what you want?

Hawk
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