Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

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To: mishedlo who wrote (6509)	5/17/2004 11:48:33 AM
From: Knighty Tin	Read Replies (3) of 116555

mish, China has been rattling sabers forever. They even threatened to sink the Seventh Fleet if Clinton sent them through the Straits of Formosa. Clinton did. China didn't. Treasuries would do well if an invasion would happen. And you would want to be short Korea and Singapore. China is not saying whether the retaliation would be economic or military. They have problems with both. We buy a lot of crap from Taiwan. And there is no question that the People's Army could crush Taiwan if they landed, but they make awfully big targets cruising across the straits in their boats. Airborne would work to take certain positions, but they would need armor and artillery to make it stick. Of course, if they use nukes, all bets are off. The Seventh Fleet could blow away anything China could deliver. We could also make certain they never saw a drop of oil again. However, it is doubtful they would dare do so under this administration. Tiny countries without arms seems to be the Bush cup of tea. If the Chinese were really ready to invade, we would be hearing silence. Like a blowfish, they are trying to get their way by puffing themselves up.

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