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Technology Stocks : Applied Materials No-Politics Thread (AMAT)
AMAT 256.41+1.1%Dec 19 9:30 AM EST

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To: Cary Salsberg who wrote (9876)5/20/2004 10:34:09 AM
From: Sam Citron  Read Replies (1) of 25522
 
my estimates will be too high if cyclical excess is replaced with slower, stable growth

Is it your thesis that the industry gradually loses its cyclical character and the cyclical excess is replaced with more stable growth? If so, how do you justify the "return to normal upcycle purchasing patterns" causing a doubling of EPS between CY05 and CY07, and why do you think that EPS will peak in CY07?

Sam
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