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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis
SOXX 292.04+2.4%Dec 18 4:00 PM EST

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To: BMcV who wrote (15374)5/24/2004 8:56:56 PM
From: Donald Wennerstrom  Read Replies (1) of 95611
 
<<By the way, SOX closed today right at the 460 that was the focus of a lot of technical analysis a few weeks ago.>>

From January, the SOX is down about 100 points, or 18 percent. Some of the stocks within the SOX, as an example, AMAT and NVLS, hit their highs in November and are down more like 28 and 35 percent respectively.

To me, that seems to be a pretty substantial "pullback" already, particularly in the face of rising bookings in the last 6 months with the "promise" of more to come in at least the next 3 months. The economy seems to be gathering momentum to go forward further rather than "crashing and burning".

My point is, we may have had our "cycle" already and are close to turning around. That is what we need to watch for going forward from here.

Don
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