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Gold/Mining/Energy : Big Dog's Boom Boom Room

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To: Tom Swift who wrote (32515)5/28/2004 12:50:26 AM
From: Elroy Jetson  Read Replies (2) of 206191
 
A friend of mine, who's a Doctor, says theories are like Popsicle sticks - you can buy a bag of 1,000 for $1.49 plus tax.

The geophysicists at Chevron had programed the geophysical characteristics of all of the known oil deposits around the world for which the company had seismic sections. The program simply compared the seismic sections of of new areas to those on file. Those strata which were very similar to known oil and gas bearing strata in other regions were highlighted in bright magenta.

They didn't put forward a lot of effort to develop theories to explain why the oil might be there. You would simply get a description of which known deposits in the world it was similar to and in what ways it was similar. The geologists thought this was like voodoo, but it all seemed pretty reasonable to me. The program had a very, very, high success rate without the benefit of any theories -whether it be comets, dinosaurs, or gas escaping from the Earth's core. You were free to develop your own Popsicle stick after we struck oil.

It's like economics or the way I like to analyze the financial aspects of a project. Sometimes too much focus on theories can prevent you from clearly seeing the reality of what is actually happening. Stay open to unexpected correlations and you often learn about things you never would have expected.
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