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Technology Stocks : Applied Materials No-Politics Thread (AMAT)
AMAT 223.95+1.7%Nov 21 9:30 AM EST
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To: Proud_Infidel who wrote (10172)6/6/2004 11:34:21 AM
From: Return to Sender  Read Replies (3) of 25522
 
Re: Have you looked at the timeframe you have chosen for your "correlation"? It is the worst in history for the sector. Be careful before looking for correlations in narrow windows of time.

Try this time frame going back to 1990 which also includes far more of the best timeframe in history for AMAT:

stockcharts.com[w,a]maclyyay[d19900101,20041207][pb20!b50!b200!c13!c20!c50!i!d20,2!f][vc60][iUb14!La12,26,9!Lg!Li10,10!Lh5,5!Lp14,3,3!Ll14]&pref=G

Brian, has it occurred to you that the period of time prior to the collapse of the Stock Market Bubble was the absolute best period of time for long term investors in semi equipment stocks?

Unlike many blue chip stocks AMAT pays no dividend. Even a stock paying a dividend does not guarantee a return but it helps. The problem here is that unless institutional investors buy and hold AMAT there is no way small investors like us can hope to benefit from the trading of the stock by doing the same.

There are no guaranteed returns in the stock market regardless of whether one follows fundamental valuations, technical analysis, or any other methodologies.

The argument here is buy and hold vs shorter term trading. Which works best? Well that still depends on when an investors buys and sells.

RtS
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