ADSL Chip Giant Turns Its Gaze To Optical FTTP 2004-06-09 17:18 (New York)
         After two years of product development, Centillium Communications [CTLM] is about to make its big play in optical broadband semiconductors. The company's hoping it can duplicate its success selling ADSL circuits with a new line of optical widgetry targeted squarely at the emerging fiber-to-the-premises (FTTP) market.        For starters, Centillium says it's already landed a contract with a company that's been selected as a supplier to NTT [NTT] for the massive Japanese FTTP buildout. Like Lucent [LU] proxy Amedia Networks [AANI], which is a systems house and not a chip house so the two companies don't compete head on, Centillium won't say who that partner is quite yet.        Centillium's plan to enter the optical market hasn't exactly been a secret - there has been a fairly general description of what it planned to do on the Centillium Web site.        Indeed, it started shipping one optical chip a couple of months ago, sort of testing the waters as it were. But that chip, a continuous-mode transceiver called Apollo aimed 1 GB/s Ethernet point- to-point optical equipment, is for use in modules. The real play, says Armando Pereira, general manager of Centillium's optical business unit, is going to be in a family of Ethernet passive optical network (EPON) chips for FTTP hardware.
  The EPON Play
         Centillium hopes to convince the industry to eschew BPON, the technology that's been used in the majority of FTTP solutions today, in favor of EPON. There are, of course, other competitors in the EPON space already trying to do exactly the same thing. Pereira named TechNovis and Israel's Passave as players his company must beat. Both, he notes, are startups that are far smaller than 450-man Centillium, which recorded a healthy $125 million in sales last year and which has an enviable $90 million in the bank to finance growth with no debt.        Pereira adds Centillium has let his unit function almost as a standalone, giving him the leeway to have "the quickness of a startup company." At the same time, he continues, his unit "is inside of a public company" so that "I have the enviable position of not having to fund-raise." Pereira's been the fund raising route, by the way, as co- founder and CEO of Alloptic.        In a first look at Centillium's game plan, Pereira tells Fiber Optic Forecast that Centillium's "killer" chips are going to include system-on-a-chip affairs, using mixed digital and analog technology. The still-unannounced chips should be ready to sample some time in the next 90 days or so, according to Pereira, with full production starting in the fourth quarter.
  SoC Designs
         System on a chip (SoC) design, of course, reduces the need for additional components and, thus, lowers cost. That's critical to the Centillium game plan, Pereira says.        "We are very much aware that the world already has ADSL, and the world has point-to-point optics. Both have established price points that we need to compete with," he says. The pricing Centillium plans, he adds, will make it possible to build equipment that costs between $100 and $120 per port.        The two SoC chips Centillium's got brewing in the labs are a central-office EPON optical line termination (OLT) SoC code named Colt and a companion customer-premise EPON optical network unit (ONU) SoC named Mustang. Both Colt and Mustang mate with Zeus, a transceiver chip under development by Centillium, to build a central office OLT or CPE ONU. Zeus will support 155 Mb/s, 622 Mb/s and 1 Gb/s configurations. Pereira jokes that the name "Zeus" and the already-released Apollo were chosen because "the transceiver chips are difficult to do, so we went with Greek gods."        The final piece of the chip family Centillium is readying is a broadband service processor code named Unicorn. Unicorn will mate with Zeus and Mustang in CPE applications and, among other things, it will have advanced security and firewall capabilities. It also will support advanced VoIP services both with and without compression, according to product descriptions provided to Fiber Optics Forecast by Centillium.
  Japanese Market
         Pereira says the unannounced Japanese contract was based on early versions of the chips and evaluation boards that were provided to NTT, rather than on early silicon of the final chips as they have emerged. He also notes that, although about a million FTTP installations already have been completed in Japan, all of them were BPON. Equipment built using Centillium's chips is expected to be the first EPON used in the Japanese FTTP buildout. That first one million ports, moreover, is only a fraction of the total available market in the Japanese FTTP deployment. Current estimates are that more than two million more FTTP ports will be added in Japan's 2005 fiscal year, Pereira says.        Centillium, of course, also hopes to get its share of the business as FTTP starts to build in the United States. In planning for that business, Pereira's using conservative estimates that there will be 200,000 ports in the United States in the current fiscal year, and about 500,000 installed in FY05. Of course, Verizon [VZ] alone already has started a rollout it says will hit a million ports. But Pereira says that he prefers to build his business plan on more conservative numbers, until such time as Verizon's million ports become more than just promises with no purchase orders behind them.        >>Armando Pereira, Centillium, 510/771-3700<<
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