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Technology Stocks : Wind River going up, up, up!

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To: Mitchell Jones who wrote (1793)8/21/1997 5:09:00 PM
From: J. Kerner   of 10309
 
Q2 CONFERENCE CALL NOTES:

The following are some notes I took during the Q2 conference call this morning. I would encourage you to listen for yourself and not trust my notes:

- COMMENTS ON THE QUARTER
Bookings much higher than sales this quarter. Number of fresh
design wins Company's goal of increased quarterly visibility has
been met. Company met all internal revenue and profitability goals.
Telecom & military were noted as being strong.
70% sales from U.S, 30% Europe, 10% Asia

- RECRUITING
They are recruiting aggressively. Added 30 engineers this quarter.
Total # of employees is 382 vs. 308 last year. Engineering expenses
were 17% of revenue last quarter.

- I2O
Intel to ship i2o chips starting in Q4 and ramping up
significantly next year. Every major player will be shipping i2o
products by Q1/Q2 next year. Company is still not factoring in
i2o royalties and asked analysts to do the same.
Company had approx. 50 design wins relating to i2o, mostly
adapter cards and motherboards. They expect i2o to be very
significant. Mentioned that 95% of the variables are behind us and
i2o shipments are a virtual certainty. Intel royalties will be
reported to Wind up to 60 days after quarter so there will be a
2-5 month lag between the time that i2o chips ship and
Wind recognizes revenue.

Company was comfortable with royalty estimates of $1.40 -
$1.75 per unit for the Intel deal. DEC deal was higher because
they estimated volume would be lower (so DEC deal could be
around $2 per unit IMO)

- ADOBE
Adobe switching out of their proprietary OS into VxWorks for all
their products. Significant opportunities in this area.

- INTS "PRISM" release
Company not worried about upcoming release of PRISM. Customers
are not hesitating with their purchasing decisions. It certainly
sounded like Wind River Systems is completely dominating and new
competing product would not be a factor.

- PRICING
Company sees no pricing pressures at all for its product on all
platforms!

- DEBT OFFERING
Company felt that this was the best deal for Wind and its
shareholders. Demand for convertables was extremely high at 8x1
which allowed company to get favorable terms (convertable price
of 48.5 is a 26% premium over closing price the day the deal was
done - 5% debt is the low end of its range). Company feels that
this deal is less dilutive than an equity offering. Also, bankers
were able to pick and choose only the highest qualified investors.
Company plans to use funds to invest in technology, partially
invest in complimentary companies, and to buy land to facilitate
its rapidly expanding workforce.

Overall, the conference call was extremely bullish IMO with
most analysts congratulating Ron Abelmann for a great quarter.
Abelmann also told Dow Jones news that he is "very comfortable" with
earnings projections for the rest of the year, EVEN IF THEY ARE
RAISED AS A RESULT OF Q2 EARNINGS.
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