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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: russwinter who started this subject	6/13/2004 12:55:35 PM
From: gregor_us	Read Replies (2) of 110194

What if the Inflation is Peaking Right Now? Let's throw out for a moment the wacky govt. numbers and grant the much higher, independently figured numbers indicating much higher inflation--right now--and the deeply negative interest rates. Again, let's grant that inflation is running at least 6% as some say, if not higher. Well, what if that is the peak? What if the supposed further explosion in inflation is not coming, and that the 25% rise in oil in just the last 6 mos. along with other commodities is already engineering a new recession in the US--which is about to be revealed like a sledgehammer falling? Have we all been cowed by the govt. inflation numbers, even as we doubt them, into thinking that a gargantuan inflation still lies ahead of us? Again, what if we simply accept that the Terrible Inflation is already with us? Doesn't that make it easier, a little easier then, to see how much closer we might be to the triggering--and the onset--of the Monster Deflation? What if the trigger has already been pulled?

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