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Technology Stocks : WDC/Sandisk Corporation
WDC 200.42+6.8%Jan 9 3:59 PM EST

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To: Pam who wrote (26208)6/26/2004 10:33:52 AM
From: Art Bechhoefer  Read Replies (2) of 60323
 
Pam, you point out that short positions increased between May 15 and June 15. That increase corresponds with weakness in the stock price but does not predict current pricing of the shares.

Data on short positions, because it is only available considerably after the fact, is a lagging indicator. It shows what some investors were thinking earlier. It may influence what some investors think later, but so may other factors, such as recent data on increasing digital camera sales. Putting all this stuff together, it looks to me like anyone would have a pretty difficult case to prove a drop in SNDK earnings.

Additionally, SanDisk has not provided any guidance to correct its conservative, but optimistic earlier prediction on earnings for this quarter. That alone suggests that fears of oversupply and attendant pricing pressures are exaggerated.

I think the shorts are basing their decisions on market gossip of the sort that comes from people who have little understanding of the technology and the markets served by that technology.

Art
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