Here's more on the initial 7 1/2 point jump: Guilford Pharma Hits 52-Wk High On Amgen Licensing Pact
By LOUIS HAU Dow Jones Newswires
NEW YORK -- Shares of Guilford Pharmaceuticals Inc. (GLFD) hit a 52-week high Thursday after the company licensed to Amgen Inc. (AMGN) the world-wide rights to a group of compounds that hold promise in promoting nerve regeneration and repair.
The compounds, a class of neurotrophic agents known as FKBP-neuroimmunophilin ligands, eventually could be used to treat degenerative disorders of the nervous system such as Alzheimer's disease and Parkinson's disease.
Oppenheimer & Co. analyst Matthew Geller said the deal will represent the most exciting part of Amgen's research pipeline.
"This is a blockbuster deal from the size and the potential of the product," he said.
Guilford's Nasdaq-listed shares jumped to a 52-week high of 32 3/4, surpassing the previous high of 30 1/4 set March 5, before settling back somewhat at 30, up 4 3/4. More than 1.4 million shares have changed hands, compared with average daily volume of 125,300 shares.
Amgen's shares rose 1 1/4, or 2.4%, to 53 5/8 on Nasdaq volume of 1.6 million shares. Average daily volume is 4.3 million shares.
"On the face of it, it looks like a spectacular deal from Guilford's point of view," said Hambrecht & Quist Inc. analyst Alex Zisson.
He said that Amgen represents what could be considered an ideal partner in such a venture because the Thousand Oaks, Calif., biotechnology company is flush with cash, doesn't have much else in its product pipeline and is experiencing slowing product sales.
As a result, Amgen has a big incentive to "spend quickly and aggressively to move these products as quickly as possible in as many indications as possible," Zisson said.
Looking at the deal from Amgen's perspective, Rodman & Renshaw Inc. analyst James Keeney was less enthusiastic.
"It gives (Amgen) favorable publicity, but it really doesn't solve their near-term problem, which is boosting sales and earnings growth," he said. "Licensing deals for far-out new-product possibilities just doesn't do it."
Amgen revealed in a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission last week that it was no longer comfortable with Wall Street earnings expectations because of an expected slowdown in sales of its Epogen and Neupogen drugs during the rest of 1997.
Oppenheimer's Geller described the Amgen-Guilford pact as "the biggest licensing deal in biotech history by $100 million or more."
Under the terms of the agreement, Amgen will pay Guilford $35 million upon the completion of the deal in the form of $15 million in cash, $15 million for the purchase of Guilford equity and a $5 million purchase of 700,000 warrants exercisable at 150% of the purchase price.
Amgen will also pay $13.5 million over three years to support research in Guilford's neuroimmunophilin program. The agreement includes provisions for milestone payments for up to 10 indications. In addition to Alzheimer's disease and Parkinson's disease, the indications also include stroke, traumatic injuries to the brain and spinal cord, multiple schlerosis, peripheral neuropathies and three non-neurological applications.
Guilford would receive milestone payments for each indication. The payments would total $392 million if the licensed compounds are successfully developed for all 10 indications.
Guilford will also receive royalties on product sales. The royalty rate hasn't yet been disclosed.
Rodman & Renshaw's Keeney said that the new Guilford pact could overshadow Amgen's partnership with Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. (REGN) to develop neurotrophic agents to treat neurodegenerative diseases.
The Amgen-Regeneron partnership suffered a major setback in January when the two companies announced the failure of a large clinical trial testing the effectiveness of brain-derived neurotrophic factor, or BDNF, in the treatment of Lou Gehrig's disease.
Although Amgen and Regeneron have continued their cooperative efforts in BDNF and other areas, the latter's shares have yet to recover from the blow absorbed from January's disappointing news.
Guilford's neuroimmunophilin ligands haven't yet been tested in humans. The company is expected to obtain data soon from its research with monkeys and should be in human clinical trials within a year, according to Oppenheimer's Geller. He expects the first products from Guilford's neuroimmunophilin program to start hitting the market within five years.
Amgen Chairman and Chief Executive Gordon Binder told Dow Jones that if Guilford meets all of the developmental milestones in the pact "or even half of them, this would be by far the largest licensing agreement we've ever had."
Binder said the Guilford partnership won't take precedent over Amgen's work with Regeneron.
He explained that the two research programs are addressing different needs and that products developed with Regeneron would be out on the market long before anything resulting from the Guilford pact.
Guilford's neuroimmunophilin ligands are administered orally, unlike the other neurotrophic agents that Amgen is involved in developing, which are mostly injectables, he said.
Binder declined to disclose the royalty rate that Amgen and Guilford have agreed to, saying only that it was "based on sales volume and other factors." |