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Strategies & Market Trends : Classic TA Workplace

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To: Perspective who wrote (100282)	6/30/2004 8:23:34 PM
From: dpl	Read Replies (3) of 209892

"It is clear that we have left the disinflationary Fall season. What seems to be in question is whether we are still in deflationary Winter, or whether monetary policy will be successful in short-circuiting the season and bringing an early reflationary Spring." The "deflationary winter" has not begun yet.It starts when the last asset bubble bursts.This is were you get the deflation.Asset bubble bust produces debt bubble bust which produces deflation. The reason most are confused is we(USA) had one asset bubble(RE) AFTER the other burst(stocks).This is rare.In 1929 there was only one(stocks) and in Japan 1990 there were two at the same time which acted as one.When RE bursts you will have your winter. David

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