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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated

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To: Dayuhan who wrote (53768)7/10/2004 11:38:47 PM
From: Nadine Carroll  Read Replies (1) of 793964
 
I wasn't talking about administrations. We have people right here who argued, quite vociferously, that once we "did" Iraq, people like the Iranians would be so intimidated that we'd have no further problems with them

If the anti-war voices were diverse, so were the pro-war voices. Many sober voices said that this was the start of a long, long campaign bent on normalizing the Middle East, removing its paralysis of government, and its self-wrought cocoon of conspiracy theories.

The question of reforms is now on the table even in the Arab League. Senior Arab diplomats must go around calling for elections in Iraq so that the government will be "legitimate" (I love making Arab diplomats call for elections). If Iraq emerges over the next few years as any kind of quasi-democratic, quasi-functional state, it will make people all over the Middle East think and think, "why not for us"?

If the Iranians watch real Iraqi elections, it may push them over the edge. There is no telling the time of a real revolution beforehand. The situation can be like dry tinder than must wait for a spark. Remember, in the spring of 1789 Jefferson was writing home from Paris about how calm the political situation was.
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