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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch

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To: Glenn Petersen who wrote (50967)	7/13/2004 11:41:37 AM
From: ChinuSFO	Read Replies (1) of 89467

Electoral College Projections Based Upon Most Recent Rasmussen Reports Survey Data and Election 2000 Results Electoral College Bush 197 Kerry 254 Toss-Up 87 July 12, 2004--If the Presidential Election were held today, Senator John Kerry would win 254 Electoral Votes, President George W. Bush would win 197 Electoral Votes. 87 Electoral Votes would be in the toss-up category. These latest results reflect the shift of Oregon from "Toss-Up" status to Kerry's column and Arkansas from Bush's column to "Toss-Up" status. All polling data to be released this week is based upon survey data collected prior to the selection of John Edwards as John Kerry's running mate rasmussenreports.com ========================================================== 44% Say U.S. Winning War on Terror; 30% Say Terrorists Winning U.S. / Allies 44% Terrorists 30% Neither 21% Not Sure 6% July 12, 2004--Forty-four percent (44%) of American voters believe the United States and its allies are winning the War on Terror. That matches the lowest level of 2004 and represents a decline in confidence since the transfer of sovereignty in Iraq. Thirty percent (30%) believe the terrorists are winning. That's just a point below the highest level found for this pessimistic assessment all year. Republicans overwhelmingly believe that the U.S. and its allies are winning. By a more modest 39% to 25% margin, unaffiliated voters share that view. However, 49% of Democrats believe the terrorists are winning while just 24% believe the U.S. is winning. rasmussenreports.com ========================================================= 47% Say Bush Better Leader; 38% Name Kerry Bush 47% Kerry 38% Not Sure 21% July 12, 2004--Forty-seven percent (47%) of American voters believe George W. Bush is a better leader than John Kerry. That is up a couple of points from a week ago. Thirty-eight percent (38%) take the opposite view and believe the Senator from Massachusetts is a better leader than the President. The 38% for Kerry is his highest reading of the year. The Rasmussen Reports survey found that Republicans see Bush as a better leader by an 84% to 9% margin. Democrats, as you would expect, see Kerry as a better leader. Today, 67% of Democratic voters name Kerry while 17% of those in Kerry's party see Bush as the better leader. <font color=red>As for those not affiliated with either major party, 43% say Bush is the better leader while 37% name Kerry. Two weeks ago, those numbers were 45% and 28% respectively.<font color=black> rasmussenreports.com

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